Government Advisor Warns UK is Heading For Civil War

Professor says country is “explosively configured” for mass unrest.

A top academic and government advisor warns that the UK will experience a civil war within the next five years caused by the “destruction of legitimacy” brought about by the government’s failure to secure the border.

Professor David Betz made the comments during a podcast appearance with journalist and author Louise Perry.

Betz teaches at Kings College London and has advised or worked with the UK MOD and GCHQ as well as being a Senior Fellow of the Foreign Policy Research Institute.

The professor, who describes himself as a “classic member of the establishment,” told Perry that British society is now “explosively configured” to suffer mass unrest.



He said the fallout began with the fracture of the social contract after the political establishment in the UK tried to subvert the Brexit vote.

Subsequent years have brought about a “destruction of legitimacy” as a result of successive governments’ open border policy and their inability to protect children from grooming gangs, in addition to a two-tier justice system presided over by a highly-politicised judiciary.

“If you want to create domestic turmoil in a society, then what the British government has been doing is almost textbook exactly what you would do,” said the professor.

Betz said that the situation is now “too far gone” and that a national eruption which will outstrip last summer’s riots is likely to happen within half a decade.

Writing on his Substack, Paul Embery outlined some of the other arguments Betz made during the podcast that led the professor to make his fateful prediction.

Betz contends that we now live in a deeply fractured nation and one that has much less connection to those aspects of its history which previously made it content and well governed. The nefarious activities of certain individuals and groups serve to exacerbate and magnify our divisions.

So, can a society in which such realities are playing out be said to be destined for civil war? Well, here comes the interesting bit. Betz explains that highly-heterogenous societies (those comprised of many different social, cultural and ethnic groups) in which there is no single dominant cohort are not especially prone to civil war. That is because no group has enough power or status to co-ordinate a widespread revolt. Similarly, highly-homogenous, or ‘unfactionated’, societies are not particularly vulnerable on account of the fact that it is generally easy to arrive at consensus positions. The danger area, Betz asserts, is in the middle – societies that are becoming more heterogenous and in which a previously dominant social majority fears that it is losing its place. In such societies, a nativist sentiment manifests in a narrative of what Betz calls ‘downgrading’ and ‘displacement’ – the most powerful causes of civil conflict. Throw in long-term structural economic decline and the apparent inability of the government to offer ‘bread and circuses’, and the sense of dispossession deepens.

He also addressed the phenomenon of ‘asymmetric multiculturalism’ in which ‘in-group preference, ethnic pride, and group solidarity – notably in voting – are acceptable for all groups except whites, for whom such things are considered to represent supremacist attitudes that are anathematic to social order’. This ‘provides an argument for revolt on the part of the white majority (or large minority) that is rooted in stirring language of justice’.

On the surface, the United Kingdom would seem like the least likely country to be susceptible to mass civil disorder, but thanks to years of societal malaise and mass immigration, it unfortunately feels like we’re on the brink of experiencing just that.

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Comments 8
  1. Civil war is fought by armed militias supported by industries. What arms? What militias? What industries?

  2. The U.K. and probably EU on the verge of civil war, and why they now fear their perpetual villain Russia that they buy fuel from for their fires while hair on fire academics with beach from villas say that’s ok because the existential threat is climate science.
    Is everybody confused yet. Is it bad enough yet. Is there anyone, perhaps a man with balls between his legs to save the women and children, or have the girlfriends and children already given you the finger by shackin up with the migrants because the smart people told them they were being abused by you and now they are to afraid to say they are terrorized.

    Well Paul, to put it bluntly the migrants are in your country because the citizens allowed themselves to be stupid because they were fed fake hubris of virtue signaling. It’s sweet on the outside and poisonous on the inside like an apple with arsenic seeds.
    And no, I don’t mean the citizens are unintellectual, silly, you have been made stupid by propaganda from an elite hierarchal academia that spends all it’s time doubling down on stupid ideas of social engineering like humanity is a Guinea pig to be tested in a lab and discarded in the waste can when they can’t double down on their own failure any longer. You do realize academia is hierarchal, right. That means no acknowledgement of mistakes or they get canned and their career gone, so they just keep trying to fix stupid.

    Better you guys tried to do what we did in America, but True, we are a very unique Constitutional Republic that is mainly the reason so many Americans believe for it to work there had to be divine intervention.
    The Founders looked at Europe, the Roman Republic, the world, and figured out the mistakes, and realize there is no perfect, we are flawed beings as the Bible points out. The Founders who were both academics and farmers simultaneously, established by using dissent as a catalyst that a Constitutional Republic is not to be defined by democracy but that protects democracy by tethering it to laws designed to keep direct democracy from cannibalizing itself by unlimited victimhood and imagined personal “equity” as if humans were property value that rises and falls at the thought of dystopian ideology to the contrary.
    The elite European academics with the big deep ideas see it differently, like taking the dystopian road to utopia. What could go wrong?

    Well, it did go wrong, again and again.

    Good luck with that.

  3. Don’t forget the effects of the Green New Deal. I have a relative who was gainfully employed all of her adult life in the NHS. Now energy is so expensive that she does not bake bread because she cannot afford to turn her oven on for a couple of hours.

  4. Errrr… nope. its heading for totalitarian control. There are no men left. There are beta males, sheep, thugs who dont care about anything, selfish greedy males who only care about themselves and their money and cowards. The illegals are having a field day, whitie will just keep moving until there is nowhere else to move. There is more chance of trump not working for the small hats than a civil war.

  5. It’s the outcome Soros and his globalist friends planned, Should be no surprises here. Maybe the newcomers can be the boots on the ground in Ukraine your mentally challenged PM was referring too. But probably not – it will be the white folks or second generation native people….

  6. Been saying exactly this for a while now, though I predict it will happen a lot sooner, maybe even this year. The public are extremely pissed off already.

  7. Britain is the textbook case when a country goes off the rails; in this case with divisive multiculturalism. It’s insane to divide up a country’s ethnic majority as Britain, France, Germany, United States, Canada, Sweden and more have done. Revolution and/or complete unravelling inevitably occurs. Perhaps that’s the goal of corrupt controlled governments.

  8. Patriots of the Western world must funnel an ample supply of armaments and ammunition to British patriots to allow the destruction of the tyrants spitting upon them while rounding up the invading barbarians for either departure or obliteration.

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