President Donald Trump’s sweeping crime crackdown, including National Guard deployments to major cities and a surge in federal arrests, has coincided with a historic plunge in U.S. murder rates and other violent crimes in 2025.
According to a fresh Axios report, murders are on pace for their largest one-year drop on record, falling 19.8% from January through October compared to the same period in 2024.
The data, drawn from 570 law enforcement agencies via the Real Time Crime Index, also shows steep declines in motor vehicle theft (-23.2%), robbery (-18.3%), burglary (-14.8%), property crime (-12.3%), violent crime (-10.2%), theft (-8.9%), rape (-8.7%), and aggravated assault (-7.5%).
U.S. murders on pace for largest one-year drop on record https://t.co/88i9MO8Ul9
— Axios (@axios) December 24, 2025
This dramatic turnaround follows Trump’s aggressive push to restore law and order in Democrat-run cities plagued by violence under the previous administration.
U.S. murders on pace for largest one-year drop on record. -Axios pic.twitter.com/lZy0vLfIKh
— Breaking911 (@Breaking911) December 24, 2025
Axios highlights plunging homicide rates in key cities targeted by Trump’s National Guard plan, including Washington, D.C., Memphis, Chicago, and Portland. In these “hellhole” urban areas—as Trump has described them—killings have dropped sharply amid federal interventions.
Source: https://t.co/XyFrETkVzH
— Robby Starbuck (@robbystarbuck) December 24, 2025
Axios, hardly a pro Trump news outlet. The source data is directly from these cities.
A separate Reuters investigation notes that overall crime dropped by almost a third in some areas, amid a shift in federal resources toward immigration enforcement that has overlapped with the broader crackdown. The report details how gun crime efforts have been bolstered by the administration’s focus on deportations and border security, contributing to the nationwide decline.
This comes just months after Trump and FBI Director Kash Patel announced record arrests under Operation Summer Heat, with 8,629 apprehensions, seizures of 2,261 firearms, 421 kilograms of fentanyl, and nearly 45,000 kilograms of cocaine between June and September 2025.
Patel emphasized an 86% surge in violent criminal arrests compared to the Biden era, stating in the Oval Office: “This is what happens when you take out the weaponization. This number is historic by every metric, 28,000 people have been arrested. Violent felons alone.”
Throughout Biden’s term, the FBI arrested only 15,000 to 17,113 violent criminals annually, per White House data.
The Trump administration’s strategy has included federalizing police in high-crime zones like D.C., where over 3,500 arrests have occurred since August, and deploying troops to Memphis and Chicago. In Memphis, the Safe Task Force has nabbed at least 800 suspects, including those linked to homicide and narcotics.
Democrats have fiercely opposed these measures. Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker likened the crackdown to “the early days of the Nazi regime,” warning it mirrors how “they started slowly but surely taking away people’s rights.” He doubled down, calling federal interventions in Chicago akin to Nazis “tearing down a constitutional republic,” even as the city’s 2024 homicide count exceeded 600.
Former President Barack Obama also slammed the approach on a podcast, declaring: “When you have military that can direct force against their own people, that is inherently corrupting.” He added, “When you see an administration suggest that ordinary street crime is an insurrection or a terrorist act, that is a genuine effort to weaken how we have understood democracy.”
Obama further claimed: “If I had sent in the National Guard into Texas and just said, ‘You know what, a lot of problems in Dallas, a lot of crime there. And I don’t care what Gov. Abbott says, I’m going to kind of take over law enforcement because I think things are out of control.’ It is mind-boggling to me … Fox News would have responded.”
He proclaimed: “That’s not who we are … that’s not our idea of America. We don’t want masked, you know, folks with rifles and machine guns patrolling our streets. You know, we want cops on the beat who know the neighborhood and the kids around, and that’s how we keep the peace around here. You know, we don’t want kangaroo courts and trumped-up charges. That’s what happens in other places that we used to scold for doing that.”
Despite the backlash, the numbers speak volumes. Trump’s no-nonsense enforcement—bypassing local resistance and invoking tools like the Insurrection Act when needed—has delivered tangible safety gains for Americans tired of unchecked urban chaos.
As deportations ramp up and federal operations expand, the trend suggests even greater reductions ahead, proving that prioritizing law and order over soft-on-crime policies works.
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