Major election forecasters are predicting a Trump win Tuesday, with some noting that his lead is widening in key states and that his victory should be “comfortable.”
The Telegraph election forecaster notes “Using years of election results, demographic trends and both current and historical polling, our model forecasts that Trump is on track to win 289 Electoral College votes to Kamala Harris’s 249 votes.”
? Donald Trump’s predicted margin of victory is widening as the race approaches its final days, The Telegraph’s election forecaster now predicts.
— Telegraph US (@TelegraphUS) October 31, 2024
? Read more: https://t.co/EhezJsLLef pic.twitter.com/5oOOYNsJRc
The forecast suggests that Trump is going to win in five of the seven swing states.
“The model suggests that the Republicans are the most likely to win tightly fought races in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina and Wisconsin,” the Telegraph states.
“As of Wednesaday, he is also predicted to win Pennsylvania with its 19 Electoral College votes,” the outlet adds.
The forecast has Kamala Harris most likely winning only in Michigan and Nevada.
It notes that Trump took a significant lead last week and has “growing momentum.”
Meanwhile, AtlasIntel, another model that was the most accurate of 2020 predicts Trump winning all seven battleground states.
#NEW – Electoral Map Based on @atlas_intel polling (full field)
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 31, 2024
? Trump 312 ?
? Harris 226
——
Arizona – ? Trump +4.9
North Carolina – ? Trump +4.0
Nevada – ? Trump +3.6
Georgia – ? Trump +1.6
Pennsylvania – ? Trump +1.1
Michigan – ? Trump +0.9
Wisconsin – ? Trump +0.3… https://t.co/gpLZ59xJG6 pic.twitter.com/N0Mf2mQ0AT
?ATLAS POLLS – SWING STATES
— AtlasIntel (@atlas_intel) October 31, 2024
Harris leads in only one of the 7 decisive swing states for the Electoral College outcome: Wisconsin. Trump's advantage over his opponent is most significant in states such as AZ, NV and NC. The race is tight in the Rust Belt swing states. pic.twitter.com/H0AqUuraoL
In that scenario,Trump would win a whopping 312 electoral votes.
I am seeing a coordinated left-wing operation claiming there is a "momentum shift" towards Harris.
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) October 31, 2024
I've seen this on X, TT, IG and you are now seeing it in the media. It has ramped up in the past few days.
They are creating a narrative that Kamala Harris is seeing a surprising…
This week, other models from The Economist, Real Clear Politics, FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver have all shifted to forecasting Trump as the most likely winner.
#NEW The Economist 2024 election forecast update
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 29, 2024
? Trump: 56%
? Harris: 44%
Battleground estimates:
? MI: Harris+0.5
? NV: Trump+0.2
? WI: Trump+1
? PA: Trump+1
? GA: Trump+2
? AZ: Trump+2
? NC: Trump+2 pic.twitter.com/go4sXMxXAq
As an 86 point electoral favorite, Real Clear Politics predicts a LANDSLIDE for Trump. pic.twitter.com/s3jgdkE8eq
— Justin Theory (@realJustATheory) October 28, 2024
#NEW Nate Silver 2024 election forecast update
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 31, 2024
? Trump: 53.4%
? Harris: 46.2% pic.twitter.com/Q5QMTPHFUC
#NEW The Economist 2024 election forecast update
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 29, 2024
? Trump: 56%
? Harris: 44%
Battleground estimates:
? MI: Harris+0.5
? NV: Trump+0.2
? WI: Trump+1
? PA: Trump+1
? GA: Trump+2
? AZ: Trump+2
? NC: Trump+2 pic.twitter.com/go4sXMxXAq
The projection from the liberal The Economist. pic.twitter.com/hfVy5g2P6B
— Aaron Ginn (@aginnt) October 25, 2024
Sure looks like panic time for the Democrats.
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I have no doubt Trump will be the actual winner like he was in 2020. As in 2020, Democrats will steal Trump’s wind using pretty well identical tactics as last time. His win would have to be too massive to fail and even then they would demand a recount of all States and Counties as a way of defrauding the American voters yet once again.
Most Americans are sick of the Democrats promoting their Marxist fantasy theories.
We’ll see. We haven’t seen how they will cheat yet.
The same way they cheat every election: closed ballot counting (illegal), sudden onsets of “found” ballots, and taking weeks to count, which is a trend that only started in the 21st century.
Sure!
But T-Rump beat Joey Diapers by a good margin last Election!
Nevertheless, Joey Diapers “won”!
The Judaic Nazis killed JFK and never got caught!
They did 9/11 and never got caught!
They will rig THIS Election, too, and not get caught!
They are giving such predictions to make Trump supporters lax. GO OUT AND VOTE. Do you think they haven’t spent all of this time manipulating the votes people have so foolishly been casting in ahead of time? Yeah, I know, “they can’t start counting until Nov. 5,” as if democrats care about the law.
Vote in person. And do vote. Do not get confident until the election is over.
the selection is the newest team sport in the u.s. never has the opposition been so derided and scorned in decades. the fool sheeple are akin to the mobs in rome in the coliseum . but they are cheering for their own demise based on the pandering of an egomaniac.
YOUR PANDERING is inconsequential, you will always be a loser.