President Trump has opened up a huge ten point lead over Kamala Harris nationwide, according to a prominent forecast.
The Decision Desk HQ/The Hill election forecast has Trump at a 52 percent chance of winning in November, with Harris languishing at 42 percent.
This is a major development, because it shows that a major shift has occurred.
NEW: Trump has overtaken Harris for the first time in @thehill/@DecisionDeskHQ's presidential election forecast. He how has a 52% chance of winning, per the model. https://t.co/r0K5RIWWUS
— Brandon Conradis (@BConradis) October 20, 2024
The Hill reports that “Since late August, the election forecast put Harris’s chances of winning at approximately 54 to 56 percent, with Trump’s chances at approximately 44 to 46 percent.”
“In early October, however, those dynamics began to shift, and the election forecast predicted both candidates’ chances to be closer to 50 percent,” the report adds.
Just last week, the model predicted the two candidates were equally likely to win, but yesterday, after a completely embarrassing week of dreadful appearances by Harris, Trump has taken a significant lead.
The report also notes that the shift coincides with Trump’s polling averages dramatically increasing in the key states of Wisconsin and Michigan.
In addition, pollster Nate Silver has placed Trump ahead in his latest forecast predicting he has a higher chance of winning, at 51% to Harris’ 49%.
In his ‘Silver Bulletin’ post on Saturday, Silver wrote, “Needless to say, stranger things have happened than a candidate who was behind in the polls winning. And in America’s polarized political climate, most elections are close, and a candidate is rarely out of the running.”
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The new election scam this year is Harris voters are now claiming their votes are getting switched by the machines to Trump while the machines are actually switching Trump voters to Harris. All they need are a couple of Harris people to make that claim so they can plaster it in every communist rag. You get 10,000.00 cash to get your picture in the paper.
I’m not sure how much faith to put into polls anymore. Last two elections have been nothing short of way off.
utter nonsense. is this a horse race?
More Fabricated Bullshit From The Low I.Q. Propaganda Machine!-Does ANYBODY Listen Or Believe these Polls?????????????????????????????-Call Up 500 People And Base Your ##’s On An Entire Nation!-Pure Stupidity!!-Trump-70%-Camablahblah-30%-The Machine Has To Make It Look Close For The Steal!-Then EVERYBODY That Cheated With Fraudulent Ballots And Pushing Cowdung Propaganda Will Go To PRISON!!-Or in Another Time-Public Executions!!!-Will Trump Keep His Promise???-Bring Back the DEATH PENALTY!!
So Cancer beats Syphilis by ten points!
Hooray!
“america” is still a Judeo-Chocolate Nazi Dictatorship!